12/23/2023 0 Comments China victory day parade![]() Such views were echoed by outside analysts, some of whom have since admitted those initial assessments were incorrect. These expectations were in part the result of intelligence reports, which, while rarely definitive and often full of caveats, apparently left an ominous impression of Russia’s abilities. officials was that Moscow’s modernized military would easily run over Ukraine’s forces, likely in days or weeks. This past winter, as Russia appeared on the verge of a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the widespread sense among U.S. Mike Quigley (D-Ill.), another intelligence committee member concerned about the assessments: “I assume our military is going to school.” ‘Grossly wrong’ “It would have been nice, at least on the non-human factors, to have had a clearer view of what was going to happen in Ukraine, and there’s probably lessons to be learned there with respect to China.”Īdded Rep. Jim Himes (D-Conn.), a member of the House Intelligence Committee. “This is hard, but at the end of the day, I do think there’s lots of scope for us to ask if we can learn,” said Rep. But what officials know less about is what Beijing intends to do with this increasingly powerful fighting force. closely tracks developments in China’s military might. China began fielding its first operational hypersonic weapons system, the DF-17, in 2020, and its nuclear arsenal is projected to grow to at least 1,000 warheads by 2030. Meanwhile, the People’s Liberation Army has grown to roughly 975,000 active-duty personnel, and the nation’s aviation force totals over 2,800 aircraft, including stealth fighters and strategic bombers. The country now has the world’s largest navy in terms of ship numbers, with an overall force of roughly 355 vessels including more than 145 large warships as of 2021, according to the Pentagon’s most recent annual report on China’s military power. ![]() understanding of China’s military are compounded by the fact that the People’s Liberation Army has not fought in a war in more than 40 years.Ĭhina has undertaken an extraordinary modernization of its armed forces over the past decade. worries that China will sooner rather than later attack Taiwan as part of a broader effort to eclipse American power in the Pacific make the topic of Beijing’s military prowess more salient than ever, said lawmakers and eight current and former officials interviewed for this story.
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